Energy Talking Points by Alex Epstein

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America’s energy crisis is mostly US Democrats’ fault

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America’s energy crisis is mostly US Democrats’ fault

Had Democrats spent the last 3.5 years liberating US oil/gas investment, production, and transport instead of strangling them, energy would be far cheaper.

Alex Epstein
Oct 27, 2022
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America’s energy crisis is mostly US Democrats’ fault

alexepstein.substack.com

I don’t identify as a Republican or Democrat.

But as an energy expert I must say this: had Democrats spent the last 3.5 years liberating US oil and gas investment, production, and transport instead of strangling them, energy would be far cheaper.

  • America is experiencing our worst energy crisis since the 1970s. High oil prices are making driving expensive, while high natural gas prices are making heating and electricity far more expensive—above all in the Northeast, where some ratepayers might see prices more than two times last winter’s.

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  • Here’s a chart of residential natural gas prices over the last several winters from the US Energy Information Administration. Notice the massive spike projected for this winter—meaning record heating bills for many.

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  • Democrats are claiming there’s nothing they could have done about today’s oil and natural gas prices. These prices, they say, are outside America’s control because they are largely set by global markets.

    In fact, had Democrats been pro-oil-and-gas our prices would be much lower.

  • Democrats could have ensured far lower oil and gas prices despite global tumult had they, upon taking power in 2019:

    1) Liberated oil investment, production, and transport.
    2) Liberated natural gas investment, production, and transport.


    Instead, they systematically strangled oil and gas.

  • How Democrats could have made oil prices lower

    By supporting the liberation of oil investment, production, and transport, Democrats could have unleashed our vast resources and industrial ingenuity to dramatically add to global oil supply—putting major downward pressure on prices.

  • Energy Secretary Granholm’s statement “that oil is a global market; it is controlled by a cartel…called OPEC” captures the view that US policy has little effect on global markets. But as the shale revolution proved, American industry can have a huge effect on global markets.

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  • American oil producers can only have a huge effect on global markets if investors are free to invest in oil production.

    But Democrats have sabotaged oil investment by 1) supporting various “ESG” policies that call for reduced oil investment and 2) threatening oil producers’ existence.

  • Since Barack Obama ran for President declaring “the age of oil must end in our time” and continuing through Joe Biden’s “guarantee” that “we’re going to end fossil fuel,” US Democrats have threatened the future of oil production—a major deterrent for investment.

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  • Leading Democrats like Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders constantly threaten US oil production and make good on those threats by trying to prevent crucial oil infrastructure projects, such as pipelines. Having these kinds of politicians in power drives investment away from oil.

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  • Is it any wonder that, threatened incessantly by US Democrats and other anti-oil forces, global investment in oil declined dramatically despite growing long-term demand? Between 2011 and 2021, oil/gas exploration investments declined 50%.

    Less investment = less supply = higher prices.

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  • High post-pandemic demand for oil would normally be a great opportunity for oil producers to rapidly increase their capital expenditures and profit from higher prices. But today’s hostile environment, overwhelmingly from Democratic politicians, makes companies reluctant to invest.

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  • In July one of America’s most successful oil execs, Cody Campbell, wrote an article, “Yes, Biden’s War On The Oil And Gas Industry Is Driving Shortages And High Prices,” citing Democrats’ idea that “the need for oil and natural gas is soon coming to an end.”

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  • In addition to sabotaging US oil’s enormous potential by going after oil investment, Democratic politicians have done everything they can to sabotage oil production: threatening to ban fracking, banning federal leases, and calling for new, costly taxes and regulations.

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  • Another Democratic position that has increased oil prices is hostility to pipelines, especially Keystone XL. This has inhibited Canada from bringing oil to market, which prevents Canada from using its vast oil deposits to their full potential—meaning lower global supply and higher prices.

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  • Summary: If Democrats, upon taking power in 2019, had liberated oil investment, production, and transport, we could have led the world in rapidly ramping up production post-pandemic. Instead, we’ve been considerably slower than OPEC+, which actively avoids fast ramp-ups in production.

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  • Next time you hear a Democratic politician say there’s nothing they could have done about oil prices, remember that we had the opportunity to produce far more oil—but Democrats were so hostile to oil that our “Energy Secretary” is someone who advocated “keeping fossil fuels in the ground.”

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  • How Democrats could have made natural gas prices lower

    By supporting the liberation of natural gas investment, production, and especially transport, Democrats could have ensured we had plenty of cheap gas to use and to export to allies who need it.

    They did the exact opposite.

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  • America has a virtually limitless supply of natural gas and an incredible ability to ramp up production quickly. E.g., between 2017 and 2018 we were able to increase gas production by 10B cubic feet per day—the equivalent of 1.7M barrels of oil (72M gallons) per day.

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  • US industry’s incredible ability to ramp up gas production has been desperately needed in recent years as gas has become more central to our economy and more needed by allies—especially those dependent on Russia.

    But industry has been strangled by Democratic opposition to pipelines.

  • Our bountiful natural gas is only useful if it can be transported by pipeline—to where it is needed in the US and to export terminals for shipment abroad. But in recent years we have seen a Democrat-led movement to block pipeline after pipeline—such as these 6 pipelines.

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  • The extent of Democratic hostility to natural gas pipelines was captured in 2019 by then-Lt. governor of Wisconsin, Mandela Barnes, who said we shouldn't be “encouraging new pipeline construction” because “we have everything we need to make sure we don't have to use it.” This was dead wrong.

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  • Democrats’ fierce opposition to natural gas pipelines has been particularly crippling in the Northeast, which should be swimming in cheap natural gas from Pennsylvania—but due to lack of pipelines has actually had to import natural gas from Russia!

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  • When Northeasterners pay much more for heating and electricity this winter, they should know that their plight was preventable—if only Democratic politicians had supported the pipelines needed to maximize the availability of natural gas vs. working to destroy those pipelines.

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  • US Democrats’ opposition to natural gas has also harmed our allies due to Democrat’s combination of opposition to pipelines and to “Liquified Natural Gas” export terminals. Every cubic foot of gas helps lower global prices and dependence on Russia—and Democratic politicians have stopped every cubic foot they could.

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  • If, when taking power in 2019, Democrats had focused on liberating US natural gas, we could have rapidly increased production, leading to lower prices and more security for us and our allies. Instead, we are struggling to grow production—and many of us are struggling to pay our bills.

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  • When you see your neighbors struggling to pay the bills, when you see businesses struggling or shutting down despite the ample energy resources in the US, just remember: we could have prevented most of this. And instead our politicians, mostly Democrats, made it worse.

  • On top of causing most of our energy crisis, Democrats just committed to making things worse by passing the “Inflation Reduction Act” which further harms oil and gas by

    • imposing new oil/gas taxes

    • giving EPA more power to restrict oil/gas

    • giving more power to anti-oil/gas activists

      Energy Talking Points by Alex Epstein
      The “Inflation Reduction Act” is a 4-step recipe for destroying American energy
      Want to know whether a candidate is truly supportive of American energy? Here's one simple test: Did they oppose the “Inflation Reduction Act”? If not, then they supported one of the most destructive energy policies in American history. The “Inflation Reduction Act” is a 4-step recipe for destroying American energy…
      Read more
      6 months ago · 66 likes · Alex Epstein
  • To understand why the two basic arguments for Democrats’ anti-oil-and-gas policies—1. “Climate emergency” and 2. Solar and wind can replace fossil fuels—are false, read this.

    Energy Talking Points by Alex Epstein
    How a fake climate emergency created a real energy emergency
    The false idea that fossil fuels’ climate impacts are an “emergency” that requires us to rapidly eliminate fossil fuels has caused an energy emergency. The “climate emergency” movement must be held accountable. The world is experiencing the worst energy crisis since the 1970s…
    Read more
    6 months ago · 90 likes · 1 comment · Alex Epstein
  • I take no pleasure in singling out Democrats for criticism on energy issues. I consider it a tragedy that today’s Democratic Party is so monolithic in supporting anti-fossil-fuel policies that harm our and our allies’ economy and security. We need many pro-energy, pro-fossil-fuel Democrats.

  • Open invitation: Any Democratic office that is interested in rational energy policy and messaging—including the best ways to promote cleaner energy long-term—can reach out to me and I’ll help you in any way I can, free of charge.

  • Summary: America’s energy crisis could have been largely prevented if Democrats used their control of Congress since 2019 to liberate oil and gas investment, production, and transport instead of sabotaging them.

    The party needs to take responsibility and reverse course.

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America’s energy crisis is mostly US Democrats’ fault. I don’t identify as R or D. But as an energy expert I must say this: had Ds spent the last 3.5 yrs *liberating US oil/gas investment, production, and transport* instead of strangling them, energy would be far cheaper. 🧵👇
6:42 PM ∙ Oct 26, 2022
5,295Likes1,239Retweets
1

Boston 25 News - Another New England-based utility company announces massive rate hike ahead of winter season

2

U.S. Energy Information Administration - U.S. natural gas bills will increase in all regions this winter

3

YouTube, Bloomberg Markets and Finance - Biden Is Looking at Possible SPR Release: Granholm

4

The Hill - Democratic bill would force Fed to defund fossil fuels

Chicago Tribune - Obama: 'The age of oil must end'

Breitbart - Joe Biden Promises Environmentalist: ‘Look into My Eyes; I Guarantee You, We Are Going to End Fossil Fuel’

5

Senator Warren’s official website - Senators Markey and Warren Call on FERC to Rescind Authorization for Spectra’s Atlantic Bridge Pipeline

Business Insider - Bernie Sanders says he’ll vote against keeping the government open if Manchin’s ‘disastrous side-deal’ on energy is included

Senator Sanders’ official website - Sanders Statement on Executive Orders to Advance Keystone XL and Dakota Access Pipelines

6

Financial Times - Embrace high fossil fuel prices because they are here to stay

Michael Shellenberger - How Climate Activists Caused the Global Energy Crisis

7

U.S. Energy Information Administration - U.S. oil producers increased capital expenditures and cash from operations in late 2021

8

Cody Campbell - Yes, Biden’s War On The Oil And Gas Industry Is Driving Shortages And High Prices

9

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency - EPA Proposes New Source Performance Standards Updates, Emissions Guidelines to Reduce Methane and Other Harmful Pollution from the Oil and Natural Gas Industry

10

USA Today - Keystone pipeline canceled after Biden had permit blocked

11

OPEC - Monthly Oil Market Report, November 2021

U.S. Energy Information Administration - U.S. Field Production of Crude Oil

12

YouTube, 350 Action - Top Clinton Ally Jen Granholm Opposes Dakota Access

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EQT - Nationwide Poll Shows Nearly 70% of All Voters Support Increasing Natural Gas Production

14

U.S. Energy Information Administration - U.S. Natural Gas Gross Withdrawals

15

EQT - Nationwide Poll Shows Nearly 70% of All Voters Support Increasing Natural Gas Production

16

The Washington Free Beacon - EXCLUSIVE VIDEO: Mandela Barnes Rules Out ‘Even Encouraging New Pipeline Construction’

17

Robert Bryce - Cuomo’s War on Pipelines Hurts New England

Real Clear Energy - Northeast Pipeline Blockade Delivers Trifecta of Bad Outcomes: Dependence on Fuel Oil, Higher Prices, and More Foreign Energy Imports

18

Boston. com - Winter is coming and so are (much) higher electric bills, National Grid warns; here’s how you can lower costs

19

E&E News - Jordan Cove project dies. What it means for FERC, gas

Sierra Club - Annova LNG Is Cancelled!

20

U.S. Energy Information Administration - U.S. Dry Natural Gas Production

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America’s energy crisis is mostly US Democrats’ fault

alexepstein.substack.com
3 Comments
Alexander Bugge
Oct 27, 2022

Great post. It should be added that Democrats attempt to temporarily conceal the impact of their suicidal policies by releasing vast amounts of petroleum out of the emergency stockpile called the The Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Dispensing with this stockpile is a national security threat and it is unwarranted to do so in a politically motivated attempt to reduce prices at the pump ahead of the midterms.

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Gayle Parker
Oct 27, 2022

I agree! I wonder what a Republican Government would do to abolish the Jones Act so that FF can be shipped easily within the US ports and borders?

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