The injustice of climate reparations

COP 29 leaders are demanding over a $1 trillion a year in climate reparations from the US and other successful nations. They don't deserve a nickel.

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COP 29 is calling for over $1 trillion in annual climate reparations

• A major theme of COP 29 is that the world should set a “New Collective Quantified Goal” wherein successful nations pay poor nations over $1 trillion a year to 1) make up for climate-related harm and 2) build them new “green energy” economies. In other words, climate reparations.¹

  

• What would $1 trillion a year in climate reparations mean for you and your family?
  
  Assuming the money was paid equally by households considered high income (>$50 per day), your household would have to pay more than $5,000 a year in climate reparations taxes!²

• Climate reparations are based on two false assumptions:
  
  1. Free, wealthy countries, through their fossil fuel use, have made the world worse for poor countries.
  
  2. The poor world’s main problem is dealing with climate change, which wealth transfers will help them with.

But free, fossil-fueled countries have made life better for poor countries

• Free, wealthy countries, through their fossil fuel use, have not made the world worse for poor countries—they have made it far, far better.
  
  Observe what has happened to global life expectancies and income as fossil fuel use has risen. Life has gotten much better for everyone.³

  

• The wealthy world’s fossil fuel use has improved life worldwide because by using fossil fuel energy to be incredibly productive, we have 1) made all kinds of goods cheaper and 2) been able to engage in life-saving aid, particularly in the realms of food, medicine, and sanitation.

• Without the historic use of fossil fuels by the wealthy world, there would be no super-productive agriculture to feed 8 billion humans, no satellite-based weather warning systems, etc. Most of the individuals in poor countries would not even be alive today.

Free, fossil-fueled countries have made the poor safer from climate

• The wealthy world’s fossil fuel use has been particularly beneficial in the realm of climate.
  
  Over the last 100 years, the death rate from climate-related disasters plummeted by 98% globally.
  
  A big reason is millions of lives saved from drought via fossil-fueled crop transport.⁴

  

• The “climate reparations” movement ignores the fact that the wealthy world’s fossil fuel use has made life better, including safer from climate, in the poor world.
  
  This allows it to pretend that the poor world’s main problem is dealing with rising CO2 levels.

The poor world’s problem is poverty, not rising CO2 levels

• The poor world’s main problem is not rising CO2 levels, it is poverty—which is caused by lack of freedom, including the crucial freedom to use fossil fuels.
  
  Poverty makes everything worse, including the world’s massive natural climate danger and any danger from more CO2.

• While it’s not true that the wealthy world has increased climate danger in the poor world—we have reduced it—it is true that the poor world is more endangered by climate than the wealthy world is.
  
  The solution is for the poor to get rich. Which requires freedom and fossil fuels.⁵

  

Escaping poverty requires freedom and fossil fuels

• Every nation that has risen out of poverty has done so via pro-freedom policies—specifically, economic freedom.
  
  That’s how resource-poor places like Singapore and Taiwan became prosperous. Resource-rich places like Congo have struggled due to lack of economic freedom.

• Even China, which is unfree in many ways (including insufficient protections against pollution) dramatically increased its standard of living via economic freedom—particularly in the realm of industrial development where it is now in many ways much freer than the US and Europe.

• A crucial freedom involved in rising prosperity has been the freedom to use fossil fuels.
  
  Fossil fuels are a uniquely cost-effective source of energy, providing energy that’s low-cost, reliable, versatile, and scalable to billions of people in thousands of places.⁶

  

• Time and again nations have increased their prosperity, including their safety from climate, via economic freedom and fossil fuels.
  
  Observe the 7X increase in fossil fuel use in China and India over the past 4 decades, which enabled them to industrialize and prosper.⁷

  

• For the world’s poorest people to be more prosperous and safer from climate, they need more freedom and more fossil fuels.
  
  The “climate reparations” movement seeks to deny them both.

• The wealthy world should communicate to the poor world that economic freedom is the path to prosperity, and encourage the poor world to reform its cultural and political institutions to embrace economic freedom—including fossil fuel freedom.
  
  Our leaders are doing the opposite.

Climate reparations pay off dictators to take away fossil fuel freedom

• Instead of promoting economic freedom, including fossil fuel freedom, wealthy climate reparations advocates like Antonio Guterres are offering to entrench anti-freedom regimes by paying off their dictators and bureaucrats to eliminate fossil fuel freedom.
  
  This is disgusting.⁸

  

• The biggest victim of “climate reparations” will be the world’s poorest countries, whose dictators will be paid off to prevent the fossil fuel freedom that has allowed not just the US and Europe but also China and India to dramatically increase their prosperity.

• The biggest beneficiary of “climate reparations” will be China, which is already emitting more CO2 than the US and Europe combined. (Though less per capita.)
  
  While we flagellate and cripple ourselves, China will use fossil fuels in its quest to become the world’s superpower.⁹

  

• The second biggest beneficiary of “climate reparations” will be corrupt do-gooders who get to add anti-fossil-fuel strings to “reparations” dollars and dictate how it's spent—which will surely include lots of dollars for unreliable solar panels and wind turbines made in China.

Leaders must reject reparations and champion fossil fuel freedom

• We need leaders in the US and Europe who proudly:
  
  1. Champion the free world’s use of fossil fuels as an enormous good for the world, including its climate safety.
  

  2. Encourage the poor world to embrace economic freedom and fossil fuels.
  
  Tell your Representative to do both.

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1. Scientific American - COP27 Summit Yields ‘Historic Win’ for Climate Reparations but Falls Short on Emissions Reductions

UN News - UN Secretary-General António Guterres called on Tuesday for countries to step up contributions to a financial mechanism to assist developing countries affected by climate change.

Phys.org - COP29 climate finance deal 'must cover loss and damage,' experts urge

COP29 official website - Fund for responding to Loss and Damage ready to accept contributions

2. Global population was about 8.02 billion in 2023.
World Bank data

About 7% of world population are considered high income, which translates into about 562 million individuals. Considering 3 people per average household in high income households, this translates into about 187 million households.
Pew Research - Are you in the global middle class? Find out with our income calculator

$1 trillion per annum paid by 187 million households means the average household would pay about $5,300 per year.

3. Maddison Database 2010 at the Groningen Growth and Development Centre, Faculty of Economics and Business at University of Groningen

World Bank Data

Scripps Institution of Oceanography - The Keeling Curve

G. Marland, T.A. Boden, and R.J. Andres, Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory - Global, Regional, and National Fossil-Fuel CO2 Emissions

4. UC San Diego - The Keeling Curve

For every million people on earth, annual deaths from climate-related causes (extreme temperature, drought, flood, storms, wildfires) declined 98%--from an average of 247 per year during the 1920s to 2.5 in per year during the 2010s.

Data on disaster deaths come from EM-DAT, CRED / UCLouvain, Brussels, Belgium – www.emdat.be (D. Guha-Sapir).

Population estimates for the 1920s from the Maddison Database 2010, the Groningen Growth and Development Centre, Faculty of Economics and Business at University of Groningen. For years not shown, population is assumed to have grown at a steady rate.

Population estimates for the 2010s come from World Bank Data.

5. UC San Diego - The Keeling Curve

Data on disaster deaths come from EM-DAT, CRED / UCLouvain, Brussels, Belgium – www.emdat.be (D. Guha-Sapir).

Population estimates come from World Bank Data.

6. Our World in Data - Energy Production and Consumption

7. BP - Statistical Review of World Energy

World Bank data

8. UN News - ‘Pay up or humanity will pay the price’, Guterres warns at COP29 climate summit

CBS News - U.N. chief calls on wealthier nations to pay for devastation caused by climate change

WSJ - Biden Signs Up for Climate Reparations

9. Our World in Data - Annual CO₂ emissions from fossil fuels, by world region